TV Tips Saturday 24 March 2018

Post-racing update: after a poor Cheltenham, we carried a deficit of £30.52 into today. I don’t know when Cold Shoulder was withdrawn as I placed my bets last night and have been out. Hopefully you had the EW treble on as the double paid £11.70 and the EW single on Just A Thought paid 4.50 giving a profit on the day of £10.20 and reducing the 2018 deficit for TV tips to £20.32

 

Just three jump races today. I rarely tip on the Flat so will forego the Doncaster TV races and concentrate on Newbury. I’ll update the P&L after racing

2.05

Shanroe Santos is becoming something of a jinx horse for this blog, which tipped him three outings ago when he failed to finish. Of course he won next time in a non-televised race, restoring confidence enough to feature as another TV tip last time. Still in with a fine chance, he tipped up two out. I shall leave him alone today. There’s an argument that he’s better right handed anyway.

The selection is Dawson City who won in the style of an improving horse last time, albeit over half a mile farther than today. The testing ground and a good gallop will help his chance.

Dawson City  8/1

 

2.40

In a tricky race, I like Cold Shoulder who’s been keen in all his hurdle races but seems to be learning with each one. I like the way he kept on last time after wearing himself out quite a bit running so free so long under a claimer. J Davies takes over here for trainer Tom Symonds, who doesn’t have many winners, but that helps the price.

It’s a step up in class, but I believe Cold Shoulder will outrun his big odds and should be backed EW in the hope all 8 stand their ground.

Cold Shoulder  25/1

 

3.15

Just A Thought is highly consistent; 3rd twice in her career, 2nd five times and twice a winner. On that record alone she’s a very fair price here and I recommend an each way bet.

Just A Thought  14/1

 

If all 8 look to be running in the 2.05 and 3.15, I’ll be having a £1 EW treble on the above and advise that you do the same along with the usual £1 single bets.

Enjoy the racing and don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile.

Joe

Minella Daddy (7/1) looks well handicapped

Ascot 2.25

I tipped Minella Daddy among today’s TV tips and with the main danger Gold Present now a non runner, I’m happy to make him a recommended bet (see here for explanation)

Sean Bowen rides Minella Daddy for his father. He’s won at Ascot and achieved his best Racing Post Rating here when 2nd to Regal Encore in December 2016.  His next outing was in a hot Kauto Star Chase at Kempton where he went off the same price as Might Bite (who fell in the lead at the last). Minella Daddy was pulled up that day and I’m assuming the reason for the non-complete was what kept him out for 13 months.

He reappeared here at Ascot last month, leading and looking in good heart until tiring badly and finishing a long way behind Acting Lass. Still, I thought he showed enough that day to merit close consideration for this. Prior to that PU last season, his form figures were 22112. He lined up at Kempton on a rating of 145 and here he is, just one run later, off 8lbs less. I think the handicapper has blundered and Minella Daddy looks the value bet of the day and I recommend that you back him.

Minella Daddy 7/1 NAP

Enjoy the racing and don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile.

Joe