Two fine horses fought out the finish of today’s King George at Ascot, although it’s unlikely they’re both world beaters, and I cannot fathom why Cracksman has been pushed out to 8s for the Arc. He was only a baby when beaten a length in the Derby; wasn’t much older when failing by a neck at the Curragh where I think he would have won the Irish Derby under a better ride. Since then he went undefeated until meeting fast ground for the first time (also getting upset in the preliminaries and at the stalls and never travelling in the race). He went down to today’s King George winner Poet’s Word.
Highly unlikely to meet fast ground in October, he’s 2 from 2 in France and very probably still improving (Gosden reported him in great order today even though he withdrew him because of the quick ground, having said at the start of the season the horse had matured massively since last year).
Other than his defeat last time when most good judges reckon he was not himself, Cracksman has been beaten only twice in his ten-race career: 3rd in The Derby and 2nd in the Irish Derby.
8/1 for the Arc is the best value I’ve seen this Flat season, although it’s essential that you understand and are prepared to risk the downside of antepost betting: if for any reason Cracksman does not turn up for the Arc, your stake is lost.
Cracksman to win the Arc at 8/1 (Betvictor) is a strongly recommended* bet.