Big races

TV Tips Saturday 28th April 2018

Post-race update: well, rather a tame end to the season. Winnerless today, but the blog has finished £11.12 in profit on calendar year 2018 for TV tips. Current profit on recommended tips for 2018 is £24.70. All figures to a £1 stake.

I might tip the occasional runner on the flat via the ‘recommended’ tips page, and I hope to see you back for the new jumps season.

We’ve reached the final day of the NH season, which makes it the final day too for TV tips on this blog. I’ll review things over the summer; despite managing a profit on both the TV tips and on recommended bets, the blog gets comparatively few visitors these days compared to two or three years ago. Our best figure was close to almost 4,000 visitors one Grand National day.  We see nothing like that these days although attention spans grow ever shorter and reading opportunities ever greater.

Anyway, we bring a profit of £17.12 into today. Let’s see if we can add to it.

Sandown

1.50

I like Act of Valour in this. He showed a good attitude last time at Fakenham and I got the impression the longer straight here and the uphill run-in would suit him well.

Act Of Valour 8/1 (Ladbrokes)


2.25

I suspect Double Shuffle needs a flat track, and I’ve never been a big fan of Top Notch. He’s a nice horse but I believe he has always been a bit overrated and therefore overbet. Art Mauresque has fair form and was arguably made too much use of last time when not seeing out the trip. A more conservative ride here could help, but he still has the stiff finish to deal with.

The value in the race to my eye is O O Seven who goes well right handed and also on this better ground. He’s run two solid races in his only Sandown outings, winning one and finishing second to Yorkhill in the other.

O O Seven 16/1 (general)


3.00

It’s great to see a champion on the last day of the season. Altior ought to win this but he is unbackable at the price. One for watching.


3.35

Regal Encore has been something of a problem horse. In his last 13 outings he’s been pulled up 7 times. Most people avoid him these days but I wonder if Richie McLernon might have found the key in riding him much more prominently this season. He’s usually held up and can race keenly. Perhaps he gets disappointed being so far back or having to fight his rider (Geraghty has ridden him for most of the horse’s chasing career).

He ran a fine race, initially from mid division to finish third under McLernon in the Hennessy (as was). Geraghty was back on board next time at Ascot, dropped him out in his usual fashion, and the horse was pulled up. Back at Ascot next time and reunited with McLernon he was ridden much more prominently and battled on well to beat Minella Daddy (who was tipped that day by this blog).

I think he could surprise a few tomorrow and nominate him as one of my bets here.  The other is a horse who has not run for more than a year because of a tendon injury, Domesday Book. Last time out he won the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham festival on just his second run for his new trainer Stuart Edmunds, whose first decision was to fit the horse with blinkers for his yard debut; he ran his best race for some time in them and they were retained for that Cheltenham victory. He wears them again here and the same jockey, the talented 3lb claimer Gina Andrews is in the saddle.

Edmunds is not a big name trainer, but that helps keep the price long at no cost in the skills department. Edmunds is a very good trainer. Domesday Book is much too big a price and I’ll be backing him.

Regal Encore 18/1 (general)

Domesday Book 50/1 (Boylesports)


I’ll be having £1 on each of the above selections (except Altior) and two £1EW doubles coupling Act Of Valour with Regal Encore and Domesday Book. I suggest you do the same for total stakes of £6.

Enjoy the racing and don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile.

Joe

Categories: Big races, tips, TV races

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