TV Tips Saturday 21st April

Post racing update: We carried a deficit for the year of £5.12 into today. Thanks to Crosshue Boy at 22/1 and Bigmartre at 4/1 we go into the final weekend of the season (Sandown) with a profit of £17.12 on TV Tips to £1 stakes.


I was intending to hold off on further TV Tips until the last weekend of the jumps season, but it’s a strong jumping card at Ayr, so let’s see if we can get in front.


1.45

Forest Bihan is a classy horse who’s at his best on good ground. I also think this track and ground will suit Foxtail Hill who will probably try to make all but might just get collared by Forest Bihan.  A bet on each is recommended.

Forest Bihan  9/1

Foxtail Hill  20/1


2.20

The Irish horse Crosshue Boy has been in fine form of late and although he’s raced only on easy ground, his action suggests he’ll go well enough on good. He might also prefer going left-handed as he will be today.

Crosshue Boy 20/1


2.55

There are some tough competitors here and I’m expecting good runs from Chesterfield and Claimantakinforgan, but I’m going to side with the unexposed I’m A Game Changer. His trainer Philip Hobbs has had a lousy season by his standards, but this horse won well at Ludlow recently. I was taken both by the way he travelled and his looks. I suspect they’ll try to land this after being very patient with the horse and then send him chasing next season.

I’m A Game Changer 12/1


3.30

Reading between the lines of what his trainer has said, I suspect the hitherto progressive Bigmartre went to Cheltenham last time at the behest of his owner. Trainer Whittington has always talked of him as a flat-track horse.

He hasn’t won over this far, but I think the fastish ground will be a major help.

Bigmartre 4/1


4.05

Blog subscribers will know I’ve tipped Regal Flow at 25/1 here and I’m happy to stick with him on the TV tips too.

I fear The Young Master; more because he has long been a ‘cliff horse’ for me and has just 10 stones in this. If a recent wind op has fixed his major problem (I suspect he has more than one big problem – not the best of jumpers either at times), he’ll go close.

Another old favourite of mine is Silsol, but he too can hit a fence hard at a critical time.

Regal Flow 25/1


 

Enjoy the racing and don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile.

Joe

3 thoughts on “TV Tips Saturday 21st April

  1. At the odds [28/1] I’m taken with Petrou in the Dawn Homes Novices’ Championship Handicap Chase. Progressive in the main since moving to Dan Skelton’s yard it is easy to forgive his ‘no show’ last time out in the Pendil Novice Chase at Kempton in February. Good ground seems key to him, the step back up to 3-mile should also be in his favour and Bridget Andrews (only 5 wins away from losing here claim) takes off a handy 3lbs. He looks over priced to me.

    Flying Tiger (FT) was sent off 6/1 Fav for the County Hurdle but underperformed that day. However, if you take in to account the jockey’ claim of 7lbs FT is effectively racing off a mark of 133 today and he is surely better than that. 12/1 with Bet365 looks to provide some value.

    I like the chance of Silsol (25/1) in the Scottish Grand National. He’s already ran well in two Nationals this term (Welsh & Midlands) on ground that was probably easier than ideal. Despite that he has dropped 5lbs in the handicap this season and back on more suitable ground can run a big race.

    Good luck with your TV selections.

    TW

  2. Very well done with Crosshue Boy & Bigmartre, two nice winners that have rocketed the blog into profit just in time for the season’s grande finale!

    TW

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