Big races

TV Tips Cheltenham, Wednesday, Day 2 2018

Post-racing update: a somewhat disappointing day although William Henry tried his heart out under 11.10, and Altior was a galloping definition of class, because he was hating every minute and his class got him home.

We carry forward a deficit of £19.52

 

Cracking racing yesterday. I really enjoyed watching it and such a shame we lost two horses; condolences to their connections.

Cheltenham

1.30 Ballymore

Samcro was most impressive last time, but the disappointments Elliot suffered today make me a wee bit uneasy about this favourite. We shall see.

The one that caught my eye is the 100/1 chance Coolanly. I don’t know much about the horse but noticed Brennan had chosen to ride it rather than Aye Aye Charlie who’s rated a fair bit higher than Coolanly. The latter is very lightly raced having run in just one hurdle. But his trainer is no fool, nor is his jockey. This horse must have come on a great deal since that run in early December.

Several bookies offer 100/1, for the brave among you but I suggest you use Betfair Sportsbook or Paddy Power and back him EW without the fav at 50/1.

Coolanly – without Samcro market – 50/1 (Betfair&Paddy Power)

………………………………………………………………….

2.10 RSA

Rather than an EW bet, I’m recommending 2 win bets here – one on Black Corton and one on Elegant Escape. The form of these two is closely linked, but I slightly favour Black Corton who’s had so many superb rides from Bryony Frost, a fine chase jockey who knows the importance of rhythm.

Black Corton 8/1 (suggest you bet with Boylesports; free bet if 2nd or 3rd to fav or if falling at first/last)

Elegant Escape  11/1 (Hills)

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2.50 Coral Cup

I tipped William Henry last time when he won at Kempton. I think this horse is bordering on high class and that there’s a fair bit of improvement in him. He has 11.10 to carry, eased slightly by James Bowen’s 3lb claim, but I think he can win this.

He’s joint fav at the moment, but just in case he does not go off favourite, it’s worth having the bet with Boylesports who offer money back if 2nd or 3rd to the fav, or if he falls at the first/last.

William Henry – Boylesports – 8/1

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3.30 Queen Mother Champion Chase

Altior ought to win this, despite hot competition from Min and Douvan. I’ve always thought the latter over rated, especially in the jumping department, and I’m surprised Ruby has chosen him over Min, who was 2nd to Altior on the 2016 Supreme, probably the best novice hurdle ever run.

You can get 11/10 about Altior who should be closer to 4/6 in my book. Doubtless the lameness scare has affected his price but Henderson wouldn’t risk this superstar if in any doubt about his readiness.

Altior  11/10

……………………..

4.10 Cross Country

Many don’t care for this race over the banks and odd fences. I love it. It’s great to see the way the runners handle all the different challenges. Elliott’s pair have been the big talking horses on the run-up – Cause of Causes and Tiger Roll, but I like Enda Bolger’s Auverngat. He was 4th in this last year on good ground, and this soft going should help him improve on that as he’s a stamina horse.

He looked like going past Josie’s Orders last time and surging away but began idling when he hit the front. To his credit he picked up again and battled hard to win by a short head. Fighters are what you need in a race like this. His jumping is a slight concern, but he’s young and, I think, improving in that sphere.

Auvergnat  8/1 with Boylesports (free bet concession as mentioned above)

Enjoy the racing and don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile. I’ll update profit/loss after racing.

Joe

 

 

 

 

 

2 replies »

  1. I think the French bred Duc Des Genievres will enjoy the step back up in trip, the going and could get a lot closer to Samcro today so an EW play for me.

    Agree that Black Corton and Elegant Escape are closely matched; ground and odds have leant me towards EE.

    C’est Jersey is my punt in the Coral Cup; back over hurdles and the blinkers back on might see him get involved at a big price.

    Purely on value grounds I took Min at 4/1 in the Queen Mother last night, it should be a great race.

    I don’t normally have a bet in the x-country but I’m pondering on taking a chance that The Last Samuri acts on the course as at level weights he looks ahead of this field.

    Good luck

    TW

  2. Sorry, Tony, just saw this. Black Corton was disappointing and looked jaded compared to last time. Altior gave a brilliant demonstration of the meaning of class, for that was all that got him home.

    Roll on tomorrow
    Joe

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