Big races

Back Saphir Du Rheu at 80/1 for The Gold Cup – blog

One of my bets in last year’s Gold Cup was Saphir Du Rheu. He’s a horse I’ve always liked and I believed some years back that he might well make up into a Gold Cup contender. That was a while ago and things didn’t go as well for him as I’d hoped, but he showed signs last season of finally realising that potential.

In the Gold Cup, he was beaten just over 6 lengths by the winner, Sizing John, and just under 4 lengths by the 3rd, Native River who is around 5/1 for next Friday’s race. This season, Saphir Du Rheu has had a much quieter campaign than usual after twisting a fetlock when he fell in the Grand National. Trainer Nicholls had hoped two get 2 races into him before the Gold Cup, but he managed just one – the Denman at Newbury four weeks ago where he badly needed the race, fading after three out behind Native River.

He’s 9-years-old and there’s a possibility he still has some improvement in him. It’s worth noting that eight of his nine career wins have been gained after breaks of six weeks or fewer; the Gold Cup will come 5 weeks after his last run. He certainly should not be 80/1 – that’s about four times the price he should be in my opinion.

An each way bet with William Hill – 80/1, money back if he doesn’t run – is strongly recommended*

*See here for interpretation of confidence levels – although note that with Saphir Du Rheu, a good part of that confidence is based on the price being far too big.

Enjoy the racing, and don’t bet more than you can afford to lose with a smile.



Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s