Regular readers will know how much I think of this horse. He’s proved very costly to follow, not least in ante-post bets for the Ryanair. I’ve been backing him regularly for that race at very big prices, but last week he was withdrawn and now takes his chance in the 4 o’clock tomorrow, a 24-runner handicap, which looks to me to be tougher than the Ryanair, but I’m giving him one last chance.
I’ve been convinced for a long time there’s a good race in this horse, and his form figures this season – dismal on the face of it – do not do him justice. He had a soft unseat when well supported first time out at Aintree. He raced very keenly in his next one at Ascot fighting his jockey ferociously until Sam gave in at the 6th and let him go on; he was understandably spent as they turned into the straight. He was keen again at Huntingdon next time and faded once more in the closing stages.
Last time at Kempton, they tried him in a first time hood (he is hooded again tomorrow) and he looked much more like his old self, travelling strongly and jumping well for a long way until his stamina gave out. He should be spot on for this. and I’m very hopeful he can add another festival victory to his record. He won the novices’ handicap in 2013 and was 3rd in the Ryanair last year. This will be the first time this season he gets the ground he likes, there’s been good market support and he could even go off close to favourite. Take the 12s still available with Stan James.